The Ammunition Market was valued at approximately USD 14.7 billion in 2020, and it is projected to register a CAGR of more than 4% during the forecast period (2022-2031).
The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the ammunition market revenues is deemed to be less. Although procurement delays are expected over a short duration, drastic fluctuations in demand due to the pandemic are not anticipated.
The rapid increase in the military expenditure of developed and emerging countries due to increasing geopolitical tensions and terrorist attacks at the borders is driving the procurement of new air, land, sea platforms, as well as procurement and deployment of advanced weapon systems. This is expected to drive the demand for ammunition procurements during the forecast period.
The investments into the development of advanced ammunition with modern materials for producing lighter and more flexible components will support the growth of the market. Furthermore, the advent of cheap, miniaturized electronics allowed munitions to be rapidly programmed in the breech while being loaded or while being fired. This has brought programming capability to smaller, faster-firing weapons. Such developments will result in the integration of smart and programmable ammunition in the coming years.
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Currently, the countries in the Asia-Pacific and Middle East & African regions are focused on the development of their local defense manufacturing industry in collaboration with global companies. These increasing investments and focus on local defense capabilities are expected to propel the growth of the market.
Key Market Trends
The Large Caliber Ammunition Segment Accounted for the Highest Share in 2020
The large-caliber ammunition segment currently dominates the market and is expected to continue its dominance during the forecast period. This is majorly due to the higher cost of mortar and artillery ammunition compared to small and medium caliber ammunition despite comparatively lower procurement quantities. The armed forces have been acquiring advanced mortar and artillery systems in order to enhance their indirect firing capabilities with greater damages at long distances. Canada is currently working on the Indirect Fire Modernization (IFM) project, under which it is evaluating the future Army requirements in terms of artillery. One potential equipment replacement that may fall under the scope of IFM would be the Army’s C-3 and LG-1 howitzers. This equipment was purchased in the late 1990s and are nearing the end of their useful lives. The country aims to execute the project as early as possible and have an initial operating capacity by 2027. Due to such robust procurement of artillery systems, the demand for large caliber ammunition is anticipated to increase in the coming years. For instance, in November 2020, the South African Army awarded a multi-million contract to Rheinmetall Denel Munition (RDM) to procure both conventional and long-range 60mm mortar ammunition, including High Explosives, Practice, and Illumination and Smoke Burst Screening Smoke Mortar Cartridges. The contract is scheduled to be completed by the end of 2021.
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The Asia-Pacific Region is Expected to Witness the Highest Growth During the Forecast Period
The Asia-Pacific region is anticipated to witness accelerated growth during the forecast period due to a rapid increase in military spending of the countries like China, India, and Japan. Over the past few years, these countries have increased their defense investment due to the ongoing geopolitical tensions across the land and sea borders. With the increasing defense expenditure, the countries are investing in the procurement of a wide range of arms and ammunition as a part of their modernization programs. For instance, in June 2020, South Korea’s Defense Acquisition Program Administration (DAPA) selected Dasan Machineries as the preferred bidder in a USD 3.1 million program to replace the S&T Motiv K1A 5.56 mm carbine currently used by the Republic of Korea Army’s (RoKA’s) Special Warfare Command. Dasan Machineries will be providing a slightly modified variant of its DSAR-15PC CBQ model. Such procurements of new guns and weaponry are expected to generate demand for new ammunition during the forecast period. Also, the countries in the region are supporting their local defense manufacturing companies through government initiatives. In 2020, the government of India announced the ban on the import of various defense equipment, including artillery guns, assault rifles, and ammunition, during the 2020-2024 period as a part of their Atmanirbhar Bharat initiative. This includes 30mm ammunition for infantry fighting systems, 155mm artillery ammunition, and 23mm ZU ammunition, among others. With the ban on imports, the government is in plans to acquire the ammunition and armaments from local manufacturers such as Ordnance Factory Board and Kalyani Group, among others. Similar plans of the government to support local industries are expected to drive the growth of the market in the region during the forecast period.
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Competitive Landscape
The ammunition market is highly fragmented due to the presence of many local manufacturers that support local and regional armed forces. Some of the prominent players in the ammunition market include General Dynamics Corporation, BAE Systems PLC, Rheinmetall AG, Elbit Systems Ltd, and Nexter Group. With the increasing focus on indigenous manufacturing in countries, like Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, China, and India, the governments are supporting local manufacturing companies to facilitate the need for their respective armed forces and law enforcement agencies, thereby helping the local companies to have a significant share in the market studied. Some local players in the market include IMBEL, FAMAE, Mechanical and Chemical Industry Company (MKEK), Ordnance Factory Board of India, etc. The international ammunition manufacturing companies are entering into agreements and partnerships with various armed forces to supply ammunition. For instance, Nammo AS signed a long-term strategic partnership agreement with the Finnish Defense Forces (FDF) in December 2020 to deliver ammunition, explosives, and propellants to the armed forces. The agreement is a continuation of the previous supply agreement signed in 2014 and is expected to remain in force until further notice. The total value is expected to be about USD 24.45 million (EUR 20 million) per year. The companies are investing in the development and manufacturing of advanced precision-guided ammunition that can effectively attack the target with limited collateral damage. Such investments into research and development are anticipated to expand the presence of the players into new emerging markets.
1 INTRODUCTION
1.1 Study Assumptions
1.2 Scope of the Study
2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
4 MARKET DYNAMICS
4.1 Market Overview
4.2 Market Drivers
4.3 Market Restraints
4.4 Porter’s Five Forces Analysis
4.4.1 Bargaining Power of Buyers/Consumers
4.4.2 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
4.4.3 Threat of New Entrants
4.4.4 Threat of Substitute Products
4.4.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry
5 MARKET SEGMENTATION (Market Size by Value – USD billion)
5.1 Type
5.1.1 Small Caliber Ammunition
5.1.2 Medium Caliber Ammunition
5.1.3 Large Caliber Ammunition
5.1.3.1 Mortar Ammunition
5.1.3.2 Arrtillery Ammunition
5.2 Application
5.2.1 Non-lethal
5.2.2 Lethal
5.3 Geography
5.3.1 North America
5.3.1.1 United States
5.3.1.2 Canada
5.3.2 Europe
5.3.2.1 United Kingdom
5.3.2.2 France
5.3.2.3 Germany
5.3.2.4 Russia
5.3.2.5 Rest of Europe
5.3.3 Asia-Pacific
5.3.3.1 China
5.3.3.2 India
5.3.3.3 Japan
5.3.3.4 South Korea
5.3.3.5 Rest of Asia-Pacific
5.3.4 Latin America
5.3.4.1 Brazil
5.3.4.2 Rest of Latin America
5.3.5 Middle-East and Africa
5.3.5.1 Saudi Arabia
5.3.5.2 United Arab Emirates
5.3.5.3 Turkey
5.3.5.4 Rest of Middle-East and Africa
6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
6.1 Vendor Market Share
6.2 Company Profiles
6.2.1 BAE Systems PLC
6.2.2 Rheinmetall AG
6.2.3 Elbit Systems Ltd
6.2.4 Nexter Group
6.2.5 General Dynamics Corporation
6.2.6 Nammo AS
6.2.7 RUAG Group
6.2.8 Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd
6.2.9 Denel SOC Ltd
6.2.10 Northrop Grumman Corporation
6.2.11 MESKO SA
6.2.12 CBC Global Ammunition
7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE TRENDS
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